The 7 Billionth Person

November 1st, 2011 by John Feehery

According to the United Nations, the 7 billionth person came into the world the other day.

I was wondering why it felt kind of crowded around here.

The 1 billionth person arrived when Thomas Jefferson was president. No. 2 billion came when Calvin Coolidge was president, the 3 billionth when Dwight Eisenhower was president, the 4 billionth when Nixon was getting impeached, the 5 billionth when Reagan was in his second term, the 6 billionth when Clinton was in his second term, and now Obama is president with No. 7 billion.

If it seems like the pace is picking up, well, you are right. At this rate, we will hit 10 billion by 2050.

Most of the growth is occurring in Asia, Africa and South America. The United States and Europe are expected to stay fairly flat in their population growth, but that doesn’t mean that Europeans and Americans won’t be profoundly affected by the population explosion in other parts of the globe.

The CIA and the Defense Department planners are already thinking through the implications of this population boom. Politicians need to follow suit.

Obama’s Hollow Victories

October 25th, 2011 by John Feehery

The president does a pretty good job of declaring victory. He doesn’t do a particularly good job of explaining the cost.

He ended last week declaring that our troops in Iraq will be home for Christmas. What he didn’t explain was that decision was reached because the Iraqis are kicking us out of their country and that the likely result will be a dirty civil war that will make Iraq a puppet of Iran.

But the president has a history of these kinds of victories.

Sure, he signed a health care reform law, which he hailed as a victory for the American people. What he didn’t explain was that health care insurance costs would likely continue to climb for most consumers and that many businesses would be ending their health insurance programs in favor of these exchanges created by the law.

Sure, he signed the Dodd-Frank law, which he hailed as a victory for those who are frustrated by a banking industry that doesn’t work properly. But the law hasn’t even been fully vetted by the regulators and already it has made it harder for the banks to loan out their money to small and medium-sized businesses.

Rubio and the Hispanic Vote

October 21st, 2011 by John Feehery

Marco Rubio

Chris Matthews thought he would get me with his question on Marco Rubio. He asked me, breaking news style, what I thought about the revelations that Rubio’s family fled Cuba two whole years before Castro came to power.

I didn’t scratch my head on camera, but I did so in my mind.

What the hell is the big deal, I thought.

Not knowing a thing about this “breaking story”, I didn’t give much of an answer. I mumbled something about Rubio being a rising star in the party and then the segment ended.

But having read the story this morning, I have a better sense of what is going on here.

The Democrats are desperately afraid that Mitt Romney is going to pick Rubio to be his Vice Presidential candidate, and they are getting the Washington Post to do its bidding.

I don’t know if Romney is going to pick Rubio and I don’t know if Rubio would accept such an offer (he says he won’t), but I do know that the R and R ticket would spell the doom of Mr. Obama and his ill-fated administration.

Obama’s Fatal Missteps

October 4th, 2011 by John Feehery

Originally posted on THE HILL – October 3, 2011

It might be too early to start analyzing what went wrong with the Obama administration in its first three years, but I am going to do it anyway.

Here are seven turning points that led to the president’s decline and fall, seven places where Obama or his Democratic allies made critical errors that forever altered the course of his presidency. He hasn’t done everything wrong, but he has made enough mistakes to make his reelection extraordinarily difficult.

1. Failed to veto the initial stimulus package: Imagine for a moment if Obama had vetoed that initial stimulus package. Imagine if he insisted that Democratic leaders take out all the pork and cleanse the bill of unworthy projects. Imagine if he had insisted that congressional Democrats work with Republicans to include their ideas, because we are all in this together. He would have immediately branded himself as a different kind of president, as someone above the fray, as a leader who cares first about the country, not the Democratic Party. And if he had done that, he would have had the Republicans hopelessly divided. Of course, he didn’t take that step, congressional Democrats were able to walk all over him and Republicans stiffened up their resolve and presented a united front against the president and his plans.

Master of Disaster

September 27th, 2011 by John Feehery

Craig Fugate

In an Administration full of disasters, one appointment stands out…in a good way.

When my wife worked for the State of Florida office, she told me about this guy who headed up the Florida’s disaster response unit.  She told me he was awesome, that he knew what he was doing and that he was a really great guy.

I’ve never met Craig Fugate, but he is Obama’s best staff pick by far.

I was thinking about disaster response this week because Congress was flirting with political disaster – as it often does – by not coming to an agreement to fully fund FEMA.

Eventually FEMA came to the rescue by divulging that it had some extra money in the bank, and the crisis over a government shut-down was averted.

Fugate knows a thing or two about crises.

When he was the head of Florida’s version of FEMA, his state got regularly pounded by huge hurricanes and tornadoes.  He got good at helping people recover and organizing quick responses.  And he developed a pragmatic philosophy.  Help first and help quickly, worry about the technicalities later.

Brazil

September 22nd, 2011 by John Feehery

It has been a long time since the girl from Ipanema captured the imaginations of the American people. But Brazil these days is more than just a bunch of pretty women and nice beaches. In fact, for American workers (especially those in the aerospace industry and helicopter manufacturing) Brazil has been a jobs life-line.

Among the top ten American trading partners, Brazil stands as the only country that the United States has had a trade surplus with for the last two years. Of the top ten products that have been sent to Latin American countries from the States, three of them have been component parts for either aircraft or helicopters.

To say that Brazil is on a roll would be an understatement. “Rio”, a new animated movie put out by Fox Pictures, is not only a hit; it also puts the iconic Brazilian city of Rio de Janeiro in a flattering light. Rio beat my hometown of Chicago for the right to host the Olympics in 2016, a coup for all of South America, and Brazil will also play host to the World Cup in 2014.

Fighting Fraud In Medicare

September 16th, 2011 by John Feehery

“In such condition, there is no place for industry; because the fruit thereof is uncertain: and consequently no culture of the earth; no navigation, nor use of the commodities that may be imported by sea; no commodious building; no instruments of moving, and removing, such things as require much force; no knowledge of the face of the earth; no account of time; no arts; no letters; no society; and which is worst of all, continual fear, and danger of violent death; and the life of man, solitary, poor, nasty, brutish, and short.”

That was Thomas Hobbes, who argued that implicit in civil society is a social contract that called for a strong government presence in regulating conduct.  In Mr. Hobbes time, the king was the ultimate sovereign.  These days, you could argue that the sovereign is the Federal government as set out by the Constitution.

Hobbes understood that the nature of man, without that social contract, would descend into chaos and ultimately darkness.  In other words, without strong laws, people cheat, lie and steal.

I say this as a means of introduction to a bipartisan proposal by Jim Gerlach, a Republican from Pennsylvania, and Earl Blumenauer, a Democrat from Oregon, to get rid of fraud in Medicare.  It is a modest proposal that could save tens of billions of dollars in government spending.

Questions That I Would Like To Be Asked During a Debate

September 13th, 2011 by John Feehery

Here are some questions that I would like to be asked at the next debate:

Bring Back The Draft

September 6th, 2011 by John Feehery

My dad learned how to make his bed in the Army.

His bed-making skills are much more impressive than mine will ever be.  He creases his sheets just so.  He could easily get a quarter to bounce high off the finished product.

He tried to instill his bed-making skills onto his sons, but somehow, we never were able to follow in his footsteps.

Part of that was because we didn’t really care about making our bed.  Part of that was because as teenagers, you are lucky to get to school, let alone worry about making your bed with military precision.

My dad learned a bunch of other things in the Army.  He learned how to polish his boots.  He learned all about physical fitness.  He learned about different cultures in America (and in Korea).

He learned some things that he will probably never tell his grandkids, and some things he never told his mother.

My dad enlisted in the Army before he was drafted.  But in all likelihood, he would have been drafted anyway.  And many of the skills he first learned at boot camp, he kept with him his entire life.

Chicken Little Syndrome

August 29th, 2011 by John Feehery

A mighty wind blew in over the weekend.  Television anchors were stretched to the limit as they desperately sought ways to fill airtime.  Emergency workers looked far and wide to fill in their time cards.  And plenty of people suddenly freaked out over the possibility that they might get wet.

New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg decided to close down the city’s mass transit system a full day before the storm was supposed to hit the Big Apple.  When the rainstorm finally hit (without any of the promised flooding), a lot of the Mayor’s critics wondered in loud and not very pleasant voices, if he was over-reacting.

He said that he would rather be safe than sorry, and that is a very common reaction among politicians.  “We must be safe, not sorry,” should be the catchphrase of the 21st century.

That sounds completely rational in the abstract.  It makes perfect sense to be cautious, especially when it comes to a major storm like a hurricane.

But being overly cautious is not without its own risks.  I call it the “Chicken Little Syndrome”.  If political leaders continually warn that the sky is falling, and the sky does not fall, it can cause a huge problem with voters.