John Feehery: Speaking Engagements

Header

The Obama Crash

Posted on October 24, 2008


 


  Charles Gasparino, the respected Wall Street analyst, wrote today in the New York Post, about the death spiral that I wrote about a couple of weeks ago.  That death spiral comes with the conflicting impulses of the political marketplace and the economic marketplace.  As the market tanks, Barack Obama’s fortunes rise.  And as Obama’s fortunes rise, the market crashes more, spooked by Obama’s anti-growth politics.  Gasparino writes:


Barack Obama has remained cool and confident amid the financial melt down, even as John McCain at times has been embarrassing, lurching from one proposal to the next. But while the polls are reflecting Obama's steady hand, the markets haven't. In fact, they're getting worse by the day as Obama's lead widens.


Most investors know the devil is in the details - and the details of Obama's economic plans are anything but reassuring.


Of course, the market turmoil is first a reflection of grim reality - the bursting of the housing bubble and the billions upon billions in writedowns and losses that have forced upon the hugely leveraged financial firms companies that had cranked big profits during the bubble years.


The resulting credit crunch is hitting Main Street harder than ever before. The country is headed for recession; the only question is: Just how low can the markets and economy go?


It could be a lot lower - it all depends on the policies of the next president.


And, as it looks increasingly likely that Obama will be that man, the markets are casting a vote of "no confidence."


To be fair, McCain hardly instills confidence among the Wall Streeters I speak to. Why has his campaign spent the last week focusing on Obama's friendship with former terrorist William Ayers - when it should be hitting Obama's blind loyalty to policies that bring together the worst elements of Herbert Hoover and Jimmy Carter?


Recently, Obama said he wants to expedite loans to small businesses, so he seems to have a clue that they produce much of the country's job growth. Yet his income-tax hike on upper brackets will hit vast numbers of small businesses - they'd face the highest rates they've seen in decades.


Overall, his plan includes some of the most lethal tax increases imaginable, including a jump in the capital-gains rate. He'd expand government spending massively, with everything from new public-works projects to increases in foreign aid to a surge in Afghanistan - plus hand out a token $500 welfare check that he calls a tax cut to everyone else.”