In the horse-race that is politics, Columbus Day signifies the last turn before the finish line. We have now passed the last turn. So where do we stand now?
According to the RealClear Politics poll of polls, if the election were held today, Republicans would:
- Pick up 9 seats in the Senate, throwing the Upper Body into a tie.
- Pick up 211 seats in the House, with Democrats only picking 185, and the 39 others being too close to call.
- Pick up 7 Governors seats.
- In the Congressional generic ballot, Republicans enjoy an 8.2% lead over the Democrats.
- President Obama’s job approval stands at 45%, and his disapproval stands at 49%, historically bad numbers for a midterm election.
It is not pretty out there. Jeff Zeleny of the New York Times today writes that even once Democratic safe seats are in tough shape. “Republicans are expanding the battle for the House into districts that Democrats had once considered relatively safe, while Democrats began a strategy of triage on Monday to fortify candidates who they believe stand the best chance of survival.” Zeleny points to two House seats in Ohio – Zach Space and Charlie Wilson – where Republicans now believe they have a good shot at winning.















