Posts Tagged ‘November elections’

Where Things Stand Now

October 12th, 2010 by John Feehery

In the horse-race that is politics, Columbus Day signifies the last turn before the finish line. We have now passed the last turn. So where do we stand now?

According to the RealClear Politics poll of polls, if the election were held today, Republicans would:

- Pick up 9 seats in the Senate, throwing the Upper Body into a tie.
- Pick up 211 seats in the House, with Democrats only picking 185, and the 39 others being too close to call.
- Pick up 7 Governors seats.
- In the Congressional generic ballot, Republicans enjoy an 8.2% lead over the Democrats.
- President Obama’s job approval stands at 45%, and his disapproval stands at 49%, historically bad numbers for a midterm election.

It is not pretty out there. Jeff Zeleny of the New York Times today writes that even once Democratic safe seats are in tough shape. “Republicans are expanding the battle for the House into districts that Democrats had once considered relatively safe, while Democrats began a strategy of triage on Monday to fortify candidates who they believe stand the best chance of survival.” Zeleny points to two House seats in Ohio – Zach Space and Charlie Wilson – where Republicans now believe they have a good shot at winning.

The Tea Party’s Future

October 5th, 2010 by John Feehery

(Originally published on Votesane.com)

The Republican Party was born in 1854 from the ashes of the Whig Party, which disintegrated over the issue of slavery.

Over the course of its more than 150 years in existence, the Grand Old Party has seen its fair share of insurrections and civil wars.

In 1908, Teddy Roosevelt, unhappy with his successor’s insufficient commitment to reform, bolted the party and ran against Mr. Taft on the Bull Moose ticket. Bob LaFollette, the Wisconsin progressive, rebelled against the autocratic rule of Speaker Joe Cannon, but couldn’t stop Calvin Coolidge from winning the White House in the 1920’s. Tom Dewey battled it out with Mr. Republican, the conservative Robert Taft, in the 1940’s, Eisenhower Republicans had nothing but disdain for the McCarthy brigades in 50’s, Goldwater’s conservatives targeted the Rockefeller Republicans in 60’s, and Ross Perot split conservatives when he ran against George Bush in the 1980’s.

And now the GOP is confronted with the energy and anger of the Tea Party in 2010. The Tea Party was born by a comment made by CNBC Rick Santelli, who complained loudly on air about the efforts of the Obama Administration to bail out bad actors who wouldn’t pay their mortgages. From that comment spread an inspired movement of citizens who were sick and tired of being taxed to pay for bigger and more wasteful government.

Obama’s Cruelest Month

September 7th, 2010 by John Feehery

“April is the cruelest month, breeding lilacs out of the dead land, mixing memory and desire, stirring dull roots with spring rain.”  – T.S. Eliot–The Wasteland

Had T.S. Elliot just witnessed the August endured by the Obama Administration, he might have changed his opinion of the cruelest month.  Because, politically, for Democrats, this August has been nothing, but a wasteland.

From the moment Michelle Obama set foot in Spain, to the moment her husband decided to wade into the New York City mosque mess, it has been nothing, but bad news for Congressional Democrats.

As the President’s popularity ratings have sunk, so have the fortunes of his close allies in Capitol Hill.  According to Gallup, Republicans now enjoy the biggest advantage to the following question in the history of the poll:  “Will you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate this coming November?”

And in race after race, the polling is not getting any better for the Democrats.   It was widely reported that Democratic operatives have already thrown in the towel on the House, and are now turning their attention to saving the Senate majority, a concern that was deemed unthinkable only four months ago.